Winter Begins Today. Not Much of it Around Here

This afternoon will bring showers, and a surge in the winds. That is the cold air lingering behind the mountains this morning. This 'trough' will bring some showers with the wind shift this afternoon. Temperatures will drop shortly after noon as this band passes. However, this pattern does not support much of the snow to reach us. The wind direction will be more from due west as opposed to northwest. While the cold air may bring some mix or flurries on back end this evening or tomorrow morning, it should be a 'non event'.

Call this break from the cool pattern we had for the last two weeks of November. The overall pattern does not look promising for snow, but the calendar says otherwise. The famed December 5th date is Friday. That has marked the first winter storm 5 of the past 6 years, and I will have more on that later this week. For now, I just wanted to show the only glimmer of hope those of you that have emailed me waiting for something on this day. Here is the GFS showing the upper level energy because the surface features don't look impressive at all. A cold front will pass with most of the energy to our north, and swing through Thursday evening. A surge of warmer air will build in during the Thursday afternoon, so when the front arrives, it will likely bring rain showers.

On Friday, the passage of the upper level trough, does not look impressive. If anything, some flurries may linger in the morning. Considering how quiet it is on the weather maps... I will follow this all week, but don't hold your breath.