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Monday, May 19, 2008

Record Snow in Binghamton, NY. Rain record getting close for Baltimore.

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Yesterday's instability showers were due to a combination of cold air aloft, an atmospheric trough, and winds off of the Great Lakes. Much like late winter, in May. We had some showers pop up in the morning locally, as weather watcher Ralph in Westminster reported grouple (partially melted snowflakes). My old stomping grounds of Binghamton, NY (WBNG-TV '95-'97) had a trace of snow- which tied a record from 2002. It's only a 4 hour drive north on I-81, but it is unique. Checking their record books, they have reported snow quite often in May, and their latest snow date on record: July 14, 1954. But I digress. It's another story for another time.

Today: Rain moved in right on schedule around 5am. It has been moderate and dropping around 1/4 to 1/3 of an inch in the first 2 hours. The model guidance is about 1/2 of an inch- but that can vary quite a bit depending on where individual cells develop and pass. This is important for BWI which is 1.86" away from the record for May. A dent, but not the record today.The north wind will likely hold many spots down 15 degrees below normal. So while I went 61F for BWI, it could stay in the 50s north of the beltway.
An improvement is on the way, just in time for the holiday weekend. Anything different at this point would be an improvement, but I see four days or more without rain along with temperatures near or above normal. That means sun and close to 80F might actually make if possible to go to the pool. Tomorrow I will give my Holiday weekend forecast.

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