Let's start off with what we missed yesterday. I pointed out the warm air to the south, but this is ridiculous. While we were stuck at 47F, Richmond hit 79F! If you read my blog last Friday/Saturday which discussed this warm up just missing us, I truly never expected anything like this.
OK- Parents know about those 2's...sorry for the bad pun, but there is so much to talk about today: Ice Storm in the mid west, Sub Tropical Storm near Puerto Rico, and a weekend Winter Storm for us???
The ice storm in Oklahoma might be the worst in recent memory with power outages, trees snapping and covering roads, a morning tally of 18 deaths - it's just bad! All is not OK in OK. Check out this scary statement the NWS posted yesterday:
THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE TULSA AREA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY. SOME INTERSECTIONS MAY NOT YET HAVE TEMPORARY FOUR WAY STOP SIGNS. CALL 911 FOR LIFE THREATENING EMERGENCIES ONLY. PLEASE DO NOT HANG
UP IF YOU CALL, YOUR CALL WILL BE ANSWERED. THE TULSA POLICE DEPARTMENT IS ON OPERATION SLICK STREETS. IF YOU HAVE A NON INJURY ACCIDENT, DO NOT CALL 911. THE POLICE WILL NOT RESPOND. ALL HOSPITALS EXCEPT THE OSU MEDICAL CENTER AND HILLCREST MEDICAL CENTER ARE OPERATING ON BACK UP POWER. AEP-PSO HAS PRIORITIZED RESTORING POWER TO HOSPITALS FIRST. IT COULD TAKE SEVERAL DAYS FOR THE POWER TO BE RESTORED TO ALL HOMES. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER FROM THE COLD AT AREA HOSPITALS. SEEK SHELTER AT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
The tropics continue to be active as 'Sub Tropical' Storm Olga was named yesterday. This once again brings up the question of naming storms. Recently the National Hurricane Center began the practice of naming 'sub tropical storms'. Not full Hurricanes! Some forecasters believe this is falsely inflating the numbers to justify - well either their off season purpose or the seasonal forecast. Either way, it counts as another one on the list - post season and will be a central Caribbean event this week. Click the image for a full view.
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) signal this weekend is going negative, which supports coastal snow storms for us. That is mainly due to the final push of the Midwest ice storm strengthening when it moves out to the ocean on Thursday. Here is the GFS outlook for Sunday showing a large coastal storm off of the DE coast. Both the Canadian and GFS support this, but plotting an ice/snow line this early would be purely guesswork. At this time, I would hedge my bets on a mix developing late Saturday, turning to snow on Sunday. For reference, since the GFS did the best job with this storm, I will continue to show this model's projections for Sunday morning. Remember that timing and position can vary widely over the next few days, so it's a little early to get really excited.
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