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Saturday, December 1, 2007

This is my December. This is my time of the year...

UPDATED 1:30pm

That was for the Linkin Park fans. But, yes, I love December, and on schedule we have a winter pattern. Is it winter yet? Meteorological winter begins today and is the 3 month stretch of December, January, and February. Astronomical winter begins at the solstice- shortest day o the year. This year that is December 22nd. Either way, it has marked the beginning of a winter pattern for Maryland most of the time. I have made mention many times of December 5th for Baltimore's first snow. See below.
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Congrats to Wisp Ski Resort at Deep Creek Lake. They opened for the season today! Now it's all about the developing storm in the plains. As of now, what may begin as a mix will be light, but light freezing drizzle is something that could be a big problem. I remember a January morning back in '01 I think- when freezing drizzle led to over 800 car accidents in Baltimore County. Either way, a better chance for PA.

Well, the morning models don't look impressive. Here is the NGM (black background), and Canadian (white background). If anything, you can see a distinction of the precip staying just north in PA. That doesn't mean we stay dry, but anything that falls early, may appear on radar, bu dry up before reaching the ground. VIRGA. Or, it may just be very light. Temps tonight will dip between 25F and 30F, but very dry. The timing is likely well after midnight - say after 3am. I would hint at anything from flurries to some sleet, then a light mist or drizzle. Temps will be near 30F just north and west of the beltway, but safely near freezing by the bay. I've highlighted the NE to E wind expected to cause this. If we get any steady precip this far south, then we could dam in the cold air in all day. Our main shot of moisture will be the rain that moves in Sunday night. By then we should be at least in the 35-40F range, but some near freezing spots near the PA line.
That famed December 5th has a chance again this year to prove itself. I'll share that frequent historical date this week. Here is the Canadian run for Wednesday, and this clipper has decent moisture with it, as well as cold air. Stay tuned.
Note: November ended with an average temperature of .7 degrees above normal, and 1.60" of rain below normal.

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