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Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Complex Storm Comes in Pieces

This morning, I was a little concerned about the rain that showed up on the local radar just south in Virginia. I had expected the rain to not make it this far east until tonight or tomorrow morning.
So, this is one of those days to plan for the worst and hope for the best.
As the storm develops, we will have moderate to heavy rain roll in on Thursday. The will be compounded by the strong southeasterly winds that develop.

The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center's forecast for rain shows the heavy amount just off of the coast. This is in line with the coastal Low I mentioned yesterday- shooting off to the east.
We are on the edge of the 1 inch rain forecast, but any delay in the cold front moving, or stronger coastal development could hold up the forward speed. That could double our rainfall.

Here is the Adonis model wind plot for Thursday afternoon. The longer arrows indicate winds in the 30 mph range or higher. That is along the coast and Delmarva. It will feed more moisture into this storm, and make for a nasty and raw day.
If you have not gone to my new blog on, today I have Part 2 of my Winter Outlook series. There is also video of snow making in Snowshoe, WV.

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