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Monday, August 11, 2008

Autumn in August

Did you like this weekend? Saturday was absolutely beautiful, but Sunday brought some flooding rain to Harford and Cecil Counties...
Here is the satellite image from Sunday evening. What an impressive upper level Low just over Toronto. This is a position I would expect in October, and the track southeast today through PA is quite unusual. As a result, it will be hard to completely fight off the clouds. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will fire up this afternoon- but mainly to our north.
This pattern is important for two reasons:
First: The sharp trough will likely propagate a large ridge within 3 weeks. Summer is not done, and I would plan for another heat wave by the end of the month.
Secondly: The pattern we have now, could be foreshadowing for a pattern this fall or winter. It's something Tony Pann and I discussed often on our old radio show - Weather Talk. Atmospheric Memory
This describes how patterns not only develop, but repeat themselves. Just a few things to look at...
Much like the drought we had last summer, it lasted into much of the winter. We ended up with a pitiful winter snow tally. Also, if we can get a ridge to time out for the end of August and into September, our chances of catching a tropical system off of the coast will go up. Tracks of such storms, can also lay the groundwork for Nor'easter paths to follow.

White Marlin Open:
Less than 1/10 of a pound is all that kept Rodger Mooney (Timonium, MD) from the big money prize in the White Marlin Open last week. As a result, a difference of about $750,000. Click here for the results...

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