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Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Heavy Rain, Ending as Snow?

A slow warming this morning, but a dramatic jump in temps across the 'Bay. Here is the 11 O'clock snapshot of the radar with some temperatures to show the wide range. Just after clipping this, Easton dropped to 44F. The strong wind from the north, will bring back the colder air sooner. Besides, blowing my forecast of 44F, it will probably bring a snow change over sooner.
This developing coastal Low (see maps on TV Weather Graphics Page) will pull down the cold air before the moisture departs. My early thinking of a dusting up to 2 inches is on track... although a faster turn over could bring more in spots. There has not been much model support (other than the GFS) but they have not handled this well from the start. However, this coastal Low is wrapping up faster than the models can catch onto, so I think it will end sooner. Depending on how much moisture is left, there could be more snow east tonight. Either way, everything will ice up. Nothing else to do but watch it and wait for it to turn back.

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